Fantasy Hockey Coach - Hockey Pool and Keeper Hockey Advice - The Press Box August 16, 2012

  • The Press Box August 16, 2012

    Fantasy Hockey Draft Guides
    Draft guides are an important resource in preparing for any fantasy hockey draft. After a long summer I am always starving for the NHL season to begin anew and to begin preparations for my fantasy teams drafts.

    There are two formats of guides to look at. Print and online.

    Print magazines have already begun to hit the news stands. The Hockey News Ultimate Fantasy Pool guide is typically the first to hit the stands. I buy it every year because it is the first out, however it is not my favorite as I find its projections to be conservative.

    The Forecaster magazine will be released on August 20th and is on news stands in Canada and available in the States via amazon.com This is my favorite magazine to read and I use it as a reference tool through out the season. The projections are bold at times (which I like) and it is chopped full of tasty little nuggets such as sleepers, on the rise, buyer beware and has begun to focus on power play and peripheral stats as well. They also include top ten prospects for each team as well. It is the most inclusive magazine available, looks great and reads well.

    Mckeen's Hockey Yearbook Is another of my personal favorites. In terms of scouting and player analysis, there is no equal. While forecaster focus is primarily on fantasy hockey, McKeen's puts a major emphasis on scouting. The player bios have very in depth talent analysis as well as a fantasy outlook. It includes prospect rankings and is an excellent resource magazine that I refer to constantly throughout the season.

    Online fantasy guides are also becoming more common, and the quality of several have really rivaled what is available in print.

    I have not purchased many but Dobberhockey.com is very well known and for good reason. Dobber contributes to the Hockey News and is also a contributor for the Forecaster magazine. His website is arguably the most popular fantasy hockey site and for good reason! I strongly encourage you to purchase his fantasy guides, and to check out the site if you have not already done so.

    Another widely popular online fantasy guide is Fantasy hockey Standard. While I have not purchased their guide I have only seen highly positive reviews. It is recommended that if you are a serious fantasy hockey participant that you use as many of these guides as you can afford the time and money for. None should be taken as absolute truth, but as highly informed opinions to help guide you in your decision making

    Last but certainly not least, Fantasy Hockey Coach is proud to offer our own fantasy guide, the Fantasy Hockey. Playbook
    Here is what you can expect to find within our guide; Several feature articles from how to prepare for your draft, to Calder chasers, players you don't want, sleeper picks from each team and each and the trending direction of every team as well.
    Predictions from each staff member, thorough 3 year statical analysis and of course a team by team breakdown.
    In the team breakdown we examine five different categories. Here is what they
    are with a brief description:
    • THE NEXT THREE - Everyone knows who the top three fantasy players are
    on each team but it’s the next three players that will have the biggest impact
    on your fantasy squad.
    • THE MAN ADVANTAGE - Who will play on what unit? How effective they
    will be?
    • PROTECTING THE CREASE – A write up on the goaltender tandem. Who
    will be the number one starter?
    • IMPACT OF NEW PLAYERS – The fantasy impact of newly acquired players
    either via free agency, draft or trade.
    • THE BREAKOUT AND THE DOWNSWING – One player who has the
    potential to breakout this season and one player who is on the downswing of
    his career.

    Here are some samples from the Playbook:

    LOS ANGELES KINGS

    THE NEXT THREE

    Living in the shadow of Doughty has kept Slava Voynov off the radar for most fantasy owners, but that shouldn’t impact his value. He is a young, mobile defenseman with a decent shot and a hockey IQ beyond his years. A mainstay on the power play, Voynov should put up enough points to be a consistent contributor in any pool and his defensive partner Mitchell will mop up any mistakes the young stalwart might make.

    Justin Williams is a two-time 30 goal scorer who doesn’t get the credit he deserves in Los Angeles. The last two seasons he has seen a bit of a career revival, avoiding injuries and putting together his most complete campaigns in his time in with the Kings. On Kopitar’s right wing Williams should be good for about 60 points and will contribute from time to time as a part the second power play unit.

    2011-12 was not kind to Jeff Carter, who split his time between Columbus and Los Angeles. Posting only 34 points on the season, he had his lowest point total since breaking in to the league in 2005. His playoff performance with the Kings showed promise however, as he posted 13 points in 20 games. Carter will be looking to prove the
    naysayers wrong this year and a full season in Los Angeles alongside Richards may see him return to 40 goal form

    Ottawa Senators

    THE MAN ADVANTAGE
    Ottawa increased their consistency on the power play as the season wore on. They finally finished with and 18.2% power play which is good for 11th in the league. The team will continue to spend a great deal of time perfecting their power play as they can’t be expected to finish in the top five in total goals for again this season. Karlsson, Alfredsson and Spezza are locks on the power play, but last season saw a revolving door for the other two spots depending on who was hot at the time. Michalek was hot enough last season to put up 10 power play markers and both Neil and Greening spent time screening the goalie on the first power play unit. Given Gonchar’s struggles on the power play, and lack of options, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Sens roll with four forwards on the PP for much of the season.

    Minnesota Wild

    IMPACT OF NEW PLAYERS
    The undisputed most improved NHL team on paper from the flurry of offseason additions;
    Minnesota is suddenly looking like a loaded offensive force. Long gone are the days of the
    Wild relying on one star as they had done for years with Gaborik. With two very strong scoring lines, Minnesota has options up front and the power play should greatly improve. Suter has the tough task of helping solidifying a young inexperienced defensive group that will face a lot of pressure this season. All the additions that the organization made have pushed the Wild into the true contenders that the fans in the State of Hockey have longed for. With all of the big name signings don’t forget about Konopka, as he will be a huge asset for the Wild and your fantasy pool. If you pool has an enforcer position Konopka
    should be near the top of your draft list for that position. Over the last three seasons he has 765 PIMs.

    In addition we include our top 300 foretasted forwards, 150 top defensemen, and top 68 goalies.

    THE ART OF PROJECTION

    Trying to predict the future season of any given hockey player isn't an easy task. Fantasy
    Hockey Coach takes this very seriously. All of our projections are weighted in player history, experts’ predictions, age, role and success at other levels. This system gives the most accurate projections you can find. However, this manner is not without its drawbacks. You won't see any huge reaches or guesses on who is going to breakout or fall-off the face of the earth this season. Other guides showcase these types of high-profile guesses. Remember, though they are nothing more then guesses. Every year there are a few surprises. These surprises are the exception, not the rule. Success in fantasy hockey is about being as right as possible as often as possible. Besides if you have purchased this guide you are not new to hockey. Even if you had only watched two or three games you'd already have formed opinions, found favorite players, hated players or guys you think are going to breakout. It is your job to balance these hunches with the knowledge contained within these pages. If you think a certain player is a lock for 75 points and we have his projection at 62 points . . . trust your gut. Our projections are simply a reflection of what is most likely to happen and give you fair expectations for the other 300 players on your draft board. If you balance your own thoughts on the upcoming year with these projections you will be a "projection artist" and be that much closer to winning your pool.

    I highly recommend you purchase as many of these outstanding tools as possible, starting with the FHC playbook which is the best value at 218 pages of fantasy hockey gold for only $7.95Click here to purchase your copy today!

    By Peter Harling
    Follow me on Twitter @pharling
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